Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy recently indicated that if the United States cannot offer a swift path to NATO membership, Ukraine may consider alternative security solutions, including the possibility of acquiring nuclear weapons. This statement has raised significant concerns regarding U.S. foreign policy and international security dynamics.
Retired Lt. General Keith Kellogg, who served as a special envoy during the Trump administration, pointed out that the chances of Ukraine regaining any nuclear arsenal are extremely low. He emphasized the unlikeliness of this scenario, stating, “Let’s be honest, we both know that’s not going to happen.”
In the wake of the Soviet Union’s dissolution, Ukraine renounced its nuclear weapons in 1994, relying on guarantees from Russia, the U.S., and the U.K. to respect its sovereignty. However, these assurances have been disregarded by Russia due to its ongoing aggressive actions against Ukraine. Zelenskyy’s recent comments suggest that if NATO membership is delayed, Ukraine should be allowed to reclaim its prior nuclear capabilities.
Kellogg, tasked by former President Donald Trump to seek a resolution to the conflict, dismissed the idea of Ukraine being rearmed with nuclear weapons. He advocated for a pragmatic approach, highlighting the necessity of using common sense when evaluating potential outcomes.
Zelenskyy also expressed openness to meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin to negotiate an end to the war, though no commitment from the Kremlin for such a meeting has emerged. Talks regarding a peace settlement might necessitate concessions from both Ukraine and Russia, according to Kellogg, who noted that the discussion about NATO membership is a central issue in these negotiations.
As Kellogg prepares for the Munich Security Conference, he seeks to clarify the positions of various allies on the ongoing war in Ukraine. NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte has urged member nations to bolster their support for Ukraine, highlighting the urgency of strengthening NATO’s defense against threats posed by Russia, China, North Korea, and Iran.
Rutte warned that a weak resolution to the conflict could ultimately empower adversarial nations, which would have long-term geopolitical implications. He urged NATO allies to increase their defense budgets and share the burden of supporting Ukraine more equitably.
The ongoing situation illustrates the complexity of diplomatic relations in a challenging global landscape, with the actions taken now likely to have significant repercussions for the future stability of Europe and beyond.